--- title: "Mosquito species" output: rmarkdown::html_vignette vignette: > %\VignetteIndexEntry{Mosquito species} %\VignetteEngine{knitr::rmarkdown} %\VignetteEncoding{UTF-8} --- ```{r, include = FALSE} knitr::opts_chunk$set( collapse = TRUE, comment = "#>", dpi=300, fig.width=7 ) ``` ```{r setup} # Load the requisite packages: library(malariasimulation) # Set colour palette: cols <- c("#E69F00", "#56B4E9", "#009E73", "#F0E442", "#0072B2", "#D55E00", "#CC79A7") ``` As alluded to in the Model Structure, Vector Control: IRS, and Vector Control: Bed net vignettes, it is possible to account for varying proportions of mosquito species in the setting you are modelling using the `set_species()` function. IRS and bed nets could be expected to have different impacts depending on the proportion of each mosquito species because of variations in indoor resting, insecticide resistance, and proportion of bites on humans versus animals by species. If you have specified more than 1 species, then the arguments for `set_spraying()` and/or `set_bednets()` must be populated with values for each species at each timestep that the intervention is implemented. There are preset parameters for *An. gambiae*, *An. arabiensis*, *An. funestus* and *An. stephensi* that can be set by the helper objects `gamb_params`, `arab_params`, `fun_params` and `steph_params`, respectively. The default values for each species in these helper functions are from [Sherrard-Smith et al., 2018](https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-07357-w). The parameters are: * `species`: the mosquito species name or signifier * `blood_meal_rates`: the blood meal rates for each species * `foraging_time`: time spent taking blood meals * `Q0`: proportion of blood meals taken on humans * `phi_bednets`: proportion of bites taken in bed * `phi_indoors`: proportion of bites taken indoors We will demonstrate how to specify different mosquito species and how this could alter intervention impact using an example with IRS. We will create a plotting function to visualise the output. ```{r} # Plotting functions plot_prev <- function() { plot(x = output_endophilic$timestep, y = output_endophilic$n_detect_lm_730_3650 / output_endophilic$n_age_730_3650, type = "l", col = cols[3], lwd = 1, xlab = "Time (days)", ylab = expression(paste(italic(Pf),"PR"[2-10])), xaxs = "i", yaxs = "i", ylim = c(0,1)) lines(x = output_exophilic$timestep, y = output_exophilic$n_detect_lm_730_3650 / output_exophilic$n_age_730_3650, col = cols[5], lwd = 1) abline(v = sprayingtimesteps, lty = 2, lwd = 2.5, col = "black") text(x = sprayingtimesteps + 10, y = 0.9, labels = "Spraying\nint.", adj = 0, cex = 0.8) grid(lty = 2, col = "grey80", lwd = 0.5) legend("bottomleft", box.lty = 0, legend = c("Prevalence for endophilic mosquitoes", "Prevalence for exophilic mosquitoes"), col = c(cols[3], cols[5]), lty = c(1,1), lwd = 2, cex = 0.8, y.intersp = 1.3) } species_plot <- function(Mos_pops){ plot(x = Mos_pops[,1], y = Mos_pops[,2], type = "l", col = cols[2], ylim = c(0,max(Mos_pops[,-1]*1.25)), ylab = "Mosquito population size", xlab = "Days", xaxs = "i", yaxs = "i", lwd = 2) grid(lty = 2, col = "grey80", lwd = 0.5) sapply(3:4, function(x){ points(x = Mos_pops[,1], y = Mos_pops[,x], type = "l", col = cols[x])}) legend("topright", legend = c("A. arab","A. fun","A. gamb"), col = cols[-1], lty = 1, lwd = 2, ncol = 1, cex = 0.8, bty = "n") } ``` ## Setting mosquito species parameters ### Single endophilic mosquito species Use the `get_parameters()` function to generate a list of parameters, accepting most of the default values, but modifying seasonality values to model a seasonal setting. We will use `set_species` to model mosquitoes similar to *An. funestus* but with a higher propensity to bite indoors (which we will name "endophilic"). Then, we use the `set_equilibrium()` function to to initialise the model at a given entomological inoculation rate (EIR). We used the `set_spraying()` function to set an IRS intervention. This function takes as arguments the parameter list, timesteps of spraying, coverage of IRS in the population and a series of parameters related to the insecticide used in the IRS. The proportion of mosquitoes dying following entering a hut is dependent on the parameters `ls_theta`, the initial efficacy, and `ls_gamma`, how it changes over time. The proportion of mosquitoes successfully feeding is dependent on `ks_theta`, the initial impact of the insecticide in IRS, and `ks_gamma`, how the impact changes over time. Finally, the proportion of mosquitoes being deterred away from a sprayed hut depends on `ms_theta`, the initial impact of IRS, and `ms_gamma`, the change in impact over time. See a more comprehensive explanation in the Supplementary Information of [Sherrard-Smith et al., 2018](https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-018-07357-w). ```{r} year <- 365 month <- 30 sim_length <- 3 * year human_population <- 1000 starting_EIR <- 50 simparams <- get_parameters( list( human_population = human_population, # seasonality parameters model_seasonality = TRUE, g0 = 0.285277, g = c(-0.0248801, -0.0529426, -0.0168910), h = c(-0.0216681, -0.0242904, -0.0073646) ) ) peak <- peak_season_offset(simparams) # Create an example mosquito species (named endophilic) with a high value for `phi_indoors` endophilic_mosquito_params <- fun_params endophilic_mosquito_params$phi_indoors <- 0.9 endophilic_mosquito_params$species <- 'endophilic' ## Set mosquito species with a high propensity for indoor biting simparams <- set_species( simparams, species = list(endophilic_mosquito_params), proportions = c(1) ) sprayingtimesteps <- c(1, 2) * year + peak - 3 * month # There is a round of IRS in the 1st and second year 3 months prior to peak transmission. simparams <- set_spraying( simparams, timesteps = sprayingtimesteps, coverages = rep(.8, 2), # # Each round covers 80% of the population # nrows=length(timesteps), ncols=length(species) ls_theta = matrix(2.025, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1), # Matrix of mortality parameters per round of IRS and per species ls_gamma = matrix(-0.009, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1), # Matrix of mortality parameters per round of IRS and per species ks_theta = matrix(-2.222, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1), # Matrix of feeding success parameters per round of IRS and per species ks_gamma = matrix(0.008, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1), # Matrix of feeding success parameters per round of IRS and per species ms_theta = matrix(-1.232, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1), # Matrix of deterrence parameters per round of IRS and per species ms_gamma = matrix(-0.009, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1) # Matrix of deterrence parameters per round of IRS and per species ) simparams <- set_equilibrium(simparams, starting_EIR) # Running simulation with IRS output_endophilic <- run_simulation(timesteps = sim_length, parameters = simparams) ``` We can see below that only the endophilic species is modelled. ```{r} simparams$species simparams$species_proportions ``` ### Single exophilic mosquito species We will run the same model with IRS as above, but this time with an example mosquito species similar to *An. funestus*, but with a lower propensity to bite indoors (which we will name "exophilic"). Note that now there are two rows for the `ls_theta`, `ls_gamma`, `ks_theta`, `ks_gamma`, `ms_theta`, and `ms_gamma` arguments (rows represent timesteps where changes occur, columns represent additional species). See the Vector Control: IRS vignette for more information about setting IRS with different mosquito species. ```{r, fig.align = 'center', out.width='100%'} # Create an example mosquito species (named exophilic) with a low value for `phi_indoors` exophilic_mosquito_params <- fun_params exophilic_mosquito_params$phi_indoors <- 0.2 exophilic_mosquito_params$species <- 'exophilic' ## Set mosquito species with a low propensity for indoor biting simparams <- set_species( simparams, species = list(exophilic_mosquito_params), proportions = c(1) ) peak <- peak_season_offset(simparams) sprayingtimesteps <- c(1, 2) * year + peak - 3 * month # There is a round of IRS in the 1st and second year 3 months prior to peak transmission. simparams <- set_spraying( simparams, timesteps = sprayingtimesteps, coverages = rep(.8, 2), # # Each round covers 80% of the population # nrows=length(timesteps), ncols=length(species) ls_theta = matrix(2.025, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1), # Matrix of mortality parameters ls_gamma = matrix(-0.009, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1), # Matrix of mortality parameters per round of IRS and per species ks_theta = matrix(-2.222, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1), # Matrix of feeding success parameters per round of IRS and per species ks_gamma = matrix(0.008, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1), # Matrix of feeding success parameters per round of IRS and per species ms_theta = matrix(-1.232, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1), # Matrix of deterrence parameters per round of IRS and per species ms_gamma = matrix(-0.009, nrow=length(sprayingtimesteps), ncol=1) # Matrix of deterrence parameters per round of IRS and per species ) output_exophilic <- run_simulation(timesteps = sim_length, parameters = simparams) ``` ### Plot adult female infectious mosquitoes by species over time In the plot below, we can see that IRS is much more effective when the endophilic mosquito species is modelled compared to the scenario where an exophilic species is modelled. In this case, IRS will not be as effective because a larger proportion of bites take place outside of the home. ```{r, fig.align = 'center', out.width='100%'} plot_prev() ``` ## Setting multiple mosquito species Finally, we give an example of how to set multiple mosquito species. ```{r, fig.align = 'center', out.width='100%'} # Update parameter list with species distributions simparams <- get_parameters( list( human_population = human_population, # seasonality parameters model_seasonality = TRUE, g0 = 0.285277, g = c(-0.0248801, -0.0529426, -0.0168910), h = c(-0.0216681, -0.0242904, -0.0073646) ) ) params_species <- set_species(parameters = simparams, species = list(arab_params, fun_params, gamb_params), proportions = c(0.1,0.3,0.6)) # Run simulation species_simulation <- run_simulation(timesteps = sim_length, parameters = params_species) ## Plot species distributions Mos_sp_dist_sim <- species_simulation[,c("timestep", "total_M_arab", "total_M_fun", "total_M_gamb")] species_plot(Mos_sp_dist_sim) ```